日経ビジネス モーニングニュースcurrently outside the Japan top 100
10月22日(木):狙われたダイキン/ジャパネット社長/湾岸タワマンついに下落
Daikin Industries was targeted by activist shareholders this spring and announced a shift in management metrics from absolute figures to ratios such as profit margins and capital efficiency. Japanet Holdings withdrew its tender offer for Twinbird but reaffirmed its commitment to own-brand manufacturing as a hedge against AI displacing its product-recommendation expertise. Meanwhile, tower condominium prices in Tokyo's waterfront districts have finally begun to fall, with experts forecasting deepening urban-regional polarization from 2028 onward.
What this episode answers
Why was Daikin Industries targeted by activists, and what management response did it take?
Daikin's share price had been in a prolonged slump, making it a target for activist shareholders; the company responded by announcing a shift in management metrics from absolute figures — total revenue and profit — to ratios such as profit margins and capital efficiency.
What challenges does Daikin face in preserving its culture of tolerating failure?
Employee initiative and hands-on drive are qualities difficult to capture in numbers, so meeting activist pressure for efficiency while preserving a culture that tolerates failure presents a genuine contradiction that Daikin must now navigate.
Why does Japanet HD say its commitment to manufacturing remains unchanged even after withdrawing the TOB?
CEO Takata sees AI eventually replacing the product-recommendation expertise that has been Japanet's core strength, so owning the manufacturing process itself — rather than just the sales channel — is the company's chosen strategy for differentiation in that future.
What are the main reasons bay-area tower condominium prices have started to fall?
Rising interest rates have reduced how much buyers can borrow, pushing up monthly repayments and depressing demand for high-priced properties, while a slowdown in overseas capital inflows has added further downward pressure on premium urban real estate.
How do experts view the future trajectory of condominium prices?
Experts predict that from 2028 onward the gap between central urban areas and regional markets will widen sharply, and warn that the era in which condominium prices rose uniformly everywhere is coming to an end.
Daikin Industries in the Activist Crosshairs — Shifting from Amounts to Ratios
Daikin Industries found itself targeted by activist shareholders this spring. With the company's share price stuck in a prolonged slump, management came under pressure to act — and responded by announcing a fundamental shift in how it measures performance: away from absolute figures such as total revenue and profit, and toward ratios such as profit margins and capital efficiency.
For years, Daikin's competitive edge has rested on something harder to quantify: a workforce culture defined by hands-on problem-solving and a willingness to try and fail. The freedom to experiment on the shop floor — with failure treated as a stepping stone rather than a setback — has long been seen as the engine of the company's innovation. The difficulty is that such qualities resist being captured in a spreadsheet. As Daikin moves to satisfy activist demands for measurable efficiency gains, the question is whether it can do so without eroding the very culture that made it strong. Retaining tolerance for inefficiency while simultaneously raising efficiency is a genuine contradiction, and it is the narrow path Daikin must now walk.
Japanet HD Withdraws Its Twinbird TOB — Betting on Manufacturing for the AI Era
Japanet Holdings (ジャパネットホールディングス) has pulled its tender offer for Twinbird, but President and CEO Takata (高田) made clear that the company's ambition to build products under its own brand has not changed.
The strategic logic starts with a reading of where AI is headed. Japanet has spent decades cultivating its ability to present products compellingly — first through television shopping, then across multiple channels. Takata sees AI eventually absorbing exactly that function: the curation and recommendation of products. If the core skill that built Japanet's business becomes a commodity handled by algorithms, the company needs a different anchor. His answer is manufacturing itself — the ability to plan and produce goods, not merely sell them. By owning the product rather than just the pitch, Japanet aims to stay differentiated in a world where AI handles the rest. Overseas expansion is also on the agenda as a way to reduce dependence on the domestic market. The TOB may be off, but the underlying competitive logic — and the manufacturing ambition it reflects — remains firmly in place.
Bay-Area Tower Condos Finally Fall — The ¥150 Million Dividing Line
The long run-up in tower condominium prices along Tokyo's waterfront has finally gone into reverse. Mortgage specialists point to interest-rate hikes as the primary cause: higher rates reduce how much buyers can borrow, raise monthly repayment amounts, and compress the price range buyers can sustain — hitting demand for high-end properties hardest. Compounding the decline is a slowdown in overseas capital inflows that had been propping up premium urban real estate; as that external demand fades, prices have lost another support.
The key threshold to watch is ¥150 million. Properties at or above that level are expected to behave very differently from those below it, making this figure a practical dividing line for reading how the market moves from here.
The repricing is not expected to stay confined to the waterfront. Analysts foresee the wave spreading nationwide, with the gap between central urban areas and regional markets widening sharply from 2028 onward. The warning is blunt: the era in which condominium prices rose uniformly everywhere is coming to an end — a significant signal for anyone weighing a purchase.
Other Featured Articles in the Digital Edition
Beyond the three stories covered in this podcast, Nikkei Business's digital edition has published additional pieces. One report examines Techno-Smart (テクノスマート), a materials-processing company relied on by manufacturers worldwide, and the coat-and-dry technology it has refined alongside its customers over the years. Another is a commentary touching on architect Fujimoto Sousuke (藤本壮介) and others, exploring the themes of "world-class architect as an insult" and the preservation of a capital-centric power structure.
Takeaways
- Targeted by activists over its stagnant share price, Daikin Industries is shifting management metrics from absolute figures to ratios, but faces the contradictory challenge of boosting efficiency while preserving its culture of tolerating failure.
- Japanet HD withdrew its TOB for Twinbird yet maintains its commitment to own-brand manufacturing and overseas expansion as a strategy to compete in an era where AI displaces product-recommendation value.
- Bay-area tower condo prices have begun falling due to rate hikes and shrinking overseas investment, with experts forecasting deepening urban-regional polarization across Japan from 2028 onward.
This article is edited from a machine transcript of the first 30 minutes of the episode. It is not an official summary — please listen to the episode itself.