Podcast ClubCharts & Guide 日本語

Hot Entry! Latest guest: Rol3ert — He pretended to be American online. Now he's aiming for the US as himself.

経済ニュース 今日の気になる話題 · Business

テスラとスペースXが巨大合併?その背景とは?

2026-10-22 · 23 min · 3 min read

On October 20, Elon Musk announced that Tesla and SpaceX are in merger discussions, a deal that would create a combined entity worth roughly $3.45 trillion and rank around fifth globally by market cap. Analysts say the real driver is not operational synergy but Musk's need to shore up his weak voting position at Tesla. The same episode also covers cyberattacks on roughly 80 Japanese firms using a publicly released Chinese-language AI agent, and a surge in covered call ETFs across South Korea and Taiwan.

Listen to this episode Go to the show page

What this episode answers

  • What is the real motive behind the Tesla-SpaceX merger talks?

    The real motive is consolidating Musk's control over Tesla: he holds roughly 80% of SpaceX's voting rights but only about 20% at Tesla, and the merger would let him pursue autonomous driving, robotics, and space data center plans without the risk of being removed.

  • What did SpaceX's most recent earnings report reveal?

    SpaceX achieved its first profit since going public in the July–September 2026 quarter, recording net income of approximately $4.4 billion (roughly ¥700 billion) on revenue up 2.6 times year-on-year, driven by Starlink, which added 1.6 million paid subscribers in three months and doubled operating profit from the prior quarter.

  • What entrepreneurial path has Elon Musk taken?

    Musk co-founded ZIP2 in 1995 and sold it in 1999 for ¥2–30 billion, then launched X.com, which merged with Confinity to become PayPal — only for Musk to be ousted as CEO by Peter Thiel during his honeymoon, an experience considered the origin of his fixation on maintaining control.

  • What are the cyberattacks being carried out using the Chinese-language AI agent Artex?

    Artex, a Chinese-language AI agent publicly released in July for security diagnostics, was exploited in attacks on approximately 80 domestic Japanese companies between September and October, with six overseas servers confirmed by GMO Cybersecurity by IERAE.

  • What is the covered call strategy, and why is it drawing attention now?

    The covered call strategy sells call options on held stocks to collect premium income, performing best in flat-to-mildly-rising markets; inflows have surged in South Korea (up fourfold from end-2025) and Taiwan (¥490 billion-plus into three ETFs since April).

Tesla-SpaceX Merger Talks

On October 20, Elon Musk announced that SpaceX and Tesla are in discussions about a full business integration. If completed, the combination would bring together SpaceX — valued at approximately $2 trillion — and Tesla at roughly $1.45 trillion, creating a single company that would rank around fifth in the world by market capitalization. The procedural path would have independent directors at each company draft a merger proposal, which shareholders at both firms would then vote to approve. Because Musk is CEO and a major shareholder of each company, he will not sit on the special committees overseeing the process.

The Real Motive: Consolidating Control

Commentators acknowledge potential synergies — SpaceX using Tesla's batteries and robotics, Tesla tapping SpaceX's AI cloud — but note that such cooperation could be achieved through ordinary contracts. The deeper issue is a structural vulnerability in Musk's hold over Tesla. SpaceX operates under a dual-class share structure: Musk's Class B shares carry ten votes each, giving him roughly 80% of voting power. At Tesla, his voting stake stands at only about 20%, leaving him exposed to removal. A merger would let Musk freely pursue ambitious plans including an autonomous-driving subscription (priced in the range of tens of thousands of yen per month), a robotics business, and space-based data centers. Antitrust obstacles are expected to be modest because the two companies' business domains barely overlap, but Tesla shareholders are widely expected to raise concerns about a conglomerate discount — the tendency for diversified entities to trade at roughly 10% below the sum of their parts.

Elon Musk's Entrepreneurial History and the PayPal Mafia

In 1995, Musk co-founded ZIP2, a map and local-business information service, with his brother. He sold it in 1999 and netted ¥2–30 billion, using the proceeds to launch a financial-services company called X.com. X.com merged with rival Confinity — whose CEO was Peter Thiel (ピーター・ティール) — to become PayPal, but Musk was ousted as CEO in what amounted to a boardroom coup by Thiel while Musk was on his honeymoon. The relationship grew only more intricate when SpaceX, teetering on bankruptcy after three consecutive launch failures, was rescued by investment from that same Thiel. Thiel later became known as an early investor in Facebook and the author of *Zero to One*, in which he argues for vertical innovation — creating something entirely new — rather than competing horizontally in existing markets.

Cyberattacks by the Chinese-Language AI Agent Artex (アルテックス)

An investigation by GMO Cybersecurity by IERAE identified six overseas servers used in attacks against domestic Japanese companies between September 18 and October 18, all of which bore traces of a Chinese-language AI agent called Artex. The tool is believed to have been used in attacks on at least approximately 80 domestic companies, and its use has also been confirmed in attacks on multiple South Korean financial institutions. Artex was publicly released in July of this year for the stated purpose of helping organizations discover vulnerabilities in their own systems; its developers say malicious use was never their intent. Anthropic is developing a comparable security-diagnostic AI but has kept it private and provides it only to trusted defensive-side organizations — a sharp contrast with Artex's open release. Concrete damage continues to accumulate, including a 4.2-million-record leak from Comic Seymour (コミックシーモア) and a breach at CarSensor.net (カーセンサーネット), reinforcing a reality in which defenders have no choice but to remain perpetually vigilant.

The Rise of Covered Call Strategy ETFs

A covered call strategy involves selling call options — the right to buy a given asset — against stocks or futures one already holds, and pocketing the premium as income. The trade-off is giving up gains above a set price level in exchange for relatively stable returns in flat or gently rising markets. A representative product is QYLD, which tracks the NASDAQ 100 and has delivered roughly 9% annualized since inception. Against a backdrop of limited prospects for large equity gains, inflows have surged in South Korea and Taiwan: South Korea has seen assets grow fourfold from the end of 2025, while three ETFs launched in Taiwan since April have together attracted more than ¥490 billion. In Japan, a Nikkei-linked covered call ETF trades under securities code 2858. Using the current Nikkei level of approximately 64,000 as an illustration: a ¥70,000 call option carries zero intrinsic value yet still commands roughly 200 points — about ¥200,000 — in time value; if the index remains below ¥70,000 through the November 13 expiry, the seller keeps that full amount.

Takeaways

  • The Tesla-SpaceX merger talks are driven by Musk's need to strengthen his roughly 20% voting stake at Tesla, not by operational synergies that could not equally be achieved through contracts.
  • The public release of the Chinese-language AI agent Artex enabled cyberattacks on approximately 80 Japanese companies, exposing the serious risks of making security-diagnostic tools freely available.
  • Covered call ETFs are drawing rapid inflows in South Korea and Taiwan — South Korea up fourfold from end-2025 — as investors in both markets seek stable income over large capital gains.

テスラスペースXイーロン・マスクサイバー攻撃カバードコール

This article is edited from a machine transcript of the first 30 minutes of the episode. It is not an official summary — please listen to the episode itself.